Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000589 0.000671 0.000759 0.000858 0.000967 0.001084 0.001218
2025-11-02 0.000464 0.000578 0.000707 0.000863 0.001046 0.001252 0.001501
2025-11-09 0.000393 0.000521 0.000672 0.000863 0.001095 0.001365 0.001702
2025-11-16 0.000328 0.000459 0.000622 0.000836 0.001104 0.001428 0.001842
2025-11-23 0.000279 0.000412 0.000583 0.000816 0.001116 0.001488 0.001976
2025-11-30 0.000246 0.000381 0.000560 0.000811 0.001145 0.001567 0.002133
2025-12-07 0.000219 0.000354 0.000541 0.000809 0.001175 0.001646 0.002289
2025-12-14 0.000193 0.000327 0.000518 0.000799 0.001191 0.001706 0.002421
2025-12-21 0.000170 0.000301 0.000494 0.000785 0.001200 0.001756 0.002540
2025-12-28 0.000159 0.000293 0.000494 0.000805 0.001257 0.001870 0.002746
2026-01-04 0.000147 0.000282 0.000490 0.000817 0.001301 0.001968 0.002932
2026-01-11 0.000133 0.000264 0.000473 0.000810 0.001317 0.002027 0.003066
2026-01-18 0.000119 0.000247 0.000456 0.000802 0.001331 0.002083 0.003199
2026-01-25 0.000109 0.000236 0.000450 0.000808 0.001367 0.002172 0.003380
2026-02-01 0.000100 0.000224 0.000439 0.000807 0.001392 0.002244 0.003537
2026-02-08 0.000086 0.000204 0.000414 0.000782 0.001377 0.002258 0.003611
2026-02-15 0.000076 0.000188 0.000393 0.000763 0.001370 0.002283 0.003701
2026-02-22 0.000069 0.000178 0.000383 0.000759 0.001387 0.002343 0.003843
2026-03-01 0.000063 0.000169 0.000374 0.000757 0.001407 0.002407 0.003992
2026-03-08 0.000056 0.000158 0.000360 0.000747 0.001413 0.002450 0.004109
2026-03-15 0.000050 0.000147 0.000346 0.000734 0.001412 0.002482 0.004210
2026-03-22 0.000048 0.000145 0.000349 0.000753 0.001467 0.002601 0.004446
2026-03-29 0.000045 0.000142 0.000349 0.000764 0.001508 0.002699 0.004652